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Red39
81309.4
36520.7
511310.2
Blue35
711010.7
434216.1
87066.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383201020506070803935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#1
20.70.6
17.418.0
Auto6.2
Teleop12.3
End2.2
red by 4.6
16.10.3
14.114.5
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Second
5113
#17
10.20.6
8.79.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
blue by 0.5
7110
#12
10.70.3
8.99.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.4
Third
8130
#15
9.40.6
7.17.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.2
red by 2.8
8706
#22
6.60.3
6.56.9
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed