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Red62
457514.2
27216.4
511310.2
Blue53
20310.7
31628.8
68605.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394902060801006253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#10
16.41.3
12.914.1
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End3.2
blue by 12.4
316
#9
28.80.3
27.127.4
Auto14.8
Teleop13.0
End1.0
Second
4575
#11
14.21.1
13.714.7
Auto7.2
Teleop6.1
End0.9
red by 3.5
203
#20
10.70.4
10.911.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Third
5113
#17
10.21.3
9.711.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
red by 4.5
6860
#24
5.70.4
5.45.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed