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Red56
164024.3
164713.5
17125.2
Blue36
12577.0
272221.4
81309.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4740102030607080905636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.3
21.722.0
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End1.7
red by 2.9
21.40.1
20.920.8
Auto7.6
Teleop10.9
End2.9
Second
13.50.3
13.513.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.5
red by 4.1
8130
#15
9.40.1
9.99.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Third
5.20.3
6.77.0
Auto3.3
Teleop1.1
End0.9
blue by 1.8
1257
#25
7.00.1
6.16.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed