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Red70
909418.5
711010.7
31628.8
Blue99
20410.0
27216.4
164024.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65472040801007099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#9
28.80.2
27.427.6
Auto14.8
Teleop13.0
End1.0
red by 4.5
24.31.8
22.023.8
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End1.7
Second
9094
#14
18.50.3
18.318.6
Auto10.0
Teleop7.6
End0.9
red by 2.1
272
#10
16.41.8
14.115.9
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Third
7110
#12
10.70.3
10.911.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.4
red by 0.7
204
#16
10.01.8
8.710.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed