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Red26
162616.4
863012.1
877112.9
Blue74
10219.7
55526.1
457319.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386020801002674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#12
16.40.7
13.713.0
Auto6.1
Teleop9.2
End1.0
blue by 9.8
555
#2
26.11.5
21.122.6
Auto10.9
Teleop12.8
End2.4
Second
8771
#15
12.90.7
12.011.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.2
End0.7
blue by 6.9
102
#7
19.71.5
15.917.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End1.1
Third
8630
#24
12.10.7
11.010.3
Auto6.2
Teleop5.6
End0.3
blue by 7.2
19.21.5
14.916.3
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed