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Red44
46526.7
599215.4
694512.1
Blue39
863012.1
71413.0
4114.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313802060804439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5992
#10
15.40.9
17.718.6
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End0.4
red by 0.8
41
#26
14.50.2
11.912.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Second
6945
#19
12.10.9
8.59.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.9
blue by 1.0
714
#14
13.00.2
11.611.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Third
4652
#16
6.70.9
2.53.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.0
End1.4
blue by 5.3
8630
#24
12.10.2
10.310.5
Auto6.2
Teleop5.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed