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Red26
42811.2
46526.7
94397.8
Blue35
862810.8
7513.3
19314.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164101030506070802635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
428
#29
11.20.4
10.410.8
Auto5.9
Teleop4.6
End0.6
blue by 3.5
193
#17
14.70.3
10.410.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End1.8
Second
9439
#32DQ
7.80.4
4.95.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 5.6
75
#25
13.30.3
14.914.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Third
4652
#16
6.70.5
2.32.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.0
End1.4
blue by 4.1
8628
#20
10.80.3
8.68.3
Auto7.1
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed