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Red69
162616.4
1121.1
457319.2
Blue42
87073.5
704520.7
7513.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563302040801006942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#8
21.10.4
18.018.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End3.1
red by 0.4
7045
#11
20.70.6
17.318.0
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Second
19.20.4
16.416.8
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End1.3
red by 5.9
75
#25
13.30.6
12.112.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Third
1626
#12
16.40.4
13.714.1
Auto6.1
Teleop9.2
End1.0
red by 12.9
8707
#31
3.50.6
3.03.6
Auto2.8
Teleop0.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed