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Red50
83420.2
862810.8
694512.1
Blue36
599215.4
601616.6
127916.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465802040801001205036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#6
20.20.5
22.422.9
Auto8.6
Teleop10.0
End1.7
red by 3.7
6016
#13
16.61.0
15.414.4
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Second
6945
#19
12.10.5
10.110.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.9
blue by 3.9
1279
#27
16.01.0
16.515.5
Auto8.3
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Third
8628
#20
10.80.5
10.310.7
Auto7.1
Teleop3.5
End0.2
blue by 4.6
5992
#10
15.41.0
19.018.0
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed