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Red64
863012.1
10219.7
704520.7
Blue50
601616.6
42811.2
1121.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56492040801006450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7045
#11
20.70.6
20.120.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End2.5
blue by 0.4
11
#8
21.10.3
19.920.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Second
102
#7
19.70.6
19.219.8
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End1.1
red by 3.2
6016
#13
16.60.3
14.915.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Third
8630
#24
12.10.6
10.511.2
Auto6.2
Teleop5.6
End0.3
red by 0.9
428
#29
11.20.3
10.711.0
Auto5.9
Teleop4.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed