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Red43
599215.4
10219.7
162616.4
Blue42
167210.5
127916.0
465315.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5843020801004342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
#7
19.70.5
19.819.2
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End1.1
red by 3.8
1279
#27
16.00.1
15.615.7
Auto8.3
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Second
1626
#12
16.40.5
14.714.1
Auto6.1
Teleop9.2
End1.0
red by 1.2
4653
#21
15.20.1
13.913.9
Auto7.5
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Third
5992
#10
15.40.5
16.315.8
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End0.4
red by 4.8
1672
#23
10.50.1
11.611.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed