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Red51
1121.1
83420.2
863012.1
Blue53
314218.5
167210.5
162616.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524630405060705153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#8
21.10.3
18.118.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End3.1
red by 2.6
18.50.7
18.118.8
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End1.9
Second
834
#6
20.20.3
18.418.8
Auto8.6
Teleop10.0
End1.7
red by 3.9
1626
#12
16.40.8
11.412.3
Auto6.1
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Third
8630
#24
12.10.3
10.010.3
Auto6.2
Teleop5.6
End0.3
red by 1.5
1672
#23
10.50.7
13.213.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed