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Red46
314218.5
877112.9
601616.6
Blue58
87073.5
863012.1
428526.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514402060801001204658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.0
16.716.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End1.9
blue by 8.1
26.70.1
26.226.3
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.1
Second
6016
#13
16.60.0
16.816.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End1.4
red by 4.5
8630
#24
12.10.1
11.611.7
Auto6.2
Teleop5.6
End0.3
Third
8771
#15
12.90.0
12.112.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.2
End0.7
red by 9.4
8707
#31
3.50.1
3.13.3
Auto2.8
Teleop0.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed