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Red27
862810.8
3034.1
704520.7
Blue45
10219.7
1121.1
4114.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31550204060801002745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7045
#11
20.70.4
16.516.1
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End2.5
blue by 0.4
11
#8
21.10.5
18.418.0
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Second
8628
#20
10.80.4
8.37.9
Auto7.1
Teleop3.5
End0.2
blue by 8.9
102
#7
19.70.5
16.315.9
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End1.1
Third
303
#30
4.10.4
6.15.7
Auto1.1
Teleop2.2
End0.8
blue by 10.4
41
#26
14.50.5
12.011.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed