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Red67
7513.3
704520.7
599215.4
Blue61
10219.7
314218.5
870614.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55583040507080906761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7045
#11
20.70.0
20.820.8
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 1.0
102
#7
19.70.2
19.519.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End1.1
Second
5992
#10
15.40.0
15.515.5
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End0.4
blue by 3.2
18.50.2
18.318.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End1.9
Third
75
#25
13.30.0
13.513.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.1
End1.1
blue by 1.3
8706
#18
14.70.2
14.514.7
Auto6.9
Teleop7.0
End0.8