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Red74
428526.7
46526.7
457319.2
Blue55
599215.4
704520.7
7513.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565401001502007455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.4
25.926.3
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.1
red by 6.0
7045
#11
20.70.0
20.420.5
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Second
19.20.4
18.518.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End1.3
red by 3.9
5992
#10
15.40.0
15.515.5
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End0.4
Third
4652
#16
6.70.4
6.06.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.0
End1.4
blue by 6.6
75
#25
13.30.0
13.113.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.1
End1.1