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Red22
418118.2
72355.7
591318.9
Blue31
25038.9
525312.7
565317.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47472530354045502231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#15
18.91.4
19.518.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End3.1
red by 1.6
17.30.7
19.118.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Second
18.21.4
16.415.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.9
red by 5.5
5253
#13
12.70.7
14.613.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End0.7
Third
7235
#20
5.71.4
6.55.2
Auto0.4
Teleop4.9
End0.4
blue by 3.2
2503
#19
8.90.7
8.57.7
Auto4.9
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed