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Red59
591318.9
327518.3
418118.2
Blue62
87635.3
453925.1
88789.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568101001502005962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#15
18.90.1
18.218.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End3.1
blue by 16.4
876
#3
35.30.5
35.535.1
Auto13.7
Teleop18.8
End2.8
Second
18.30.1
17.617.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End0.8
blue by 6.8
4539
#21
25.10.5
25.424.9
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Third
18.20.1
17.617.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.9
red by 8.8
8878
#14
9.40.5
9.79.2
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End1.7