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Red81
957623.4
327521.5
591320.1
Blue80
87634.2
310222.4
88788.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7070506080908180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.4
22.322.8
Auto10.6
Teleop12.6
End0.2
blue by 10.8
876
#2
34.20.1
34.234.3
Auto15.1
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Second
21.50.4
20.420.8
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End0.6
blue by 0.9
22.40.1
22.422.5
Auto5.6
Teleop13.9
End2.9
Third
5913
#11
20.10.4
19.019.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End3.0
red by 12.1
8878
#23
8.10.1
8.18.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.9
End0.8