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Red48
43604.0
569020.5
32789.6
Blue64
957623.4
310222.4
565317.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30720204060801001201404864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#16
20.50.1
21.521.6
Auto8.9
Teleop9.6
End1.9
blue by 3.0
23.40.4
22.422.0
Auto10.6
Teleop12.6
End0.2
Second
3278
#20
9.60.1
8.08.1
Auto1.8
Teleop7.6
End0.2
blue by 12.9
22.40.4
21.521.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.9
End2.9
Third
4360
#17
4.00.1
2.82.9
Auto1.1
Teleop2.3
End0.5
blue by 13.0
17.00.4
16.516.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned