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Red36
43604.0
565317.0
88788.1
Blue43
400919.2
818818.2
85869.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285802040801001203643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.2
17.117.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End1.9
blue by 2.3
4009
#10
19.20.7
20.019.2
Auto9.2
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Second
8878
#23
8.10.2
7.47.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.9
End0.8
blue by 10.1
8188
#21
18.20.7
18.918.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Third
4360
#17
4.00.2
4.24.0
Auto1.1
Teleop2.3
End0.5
blue by 5.4
8586
#24
9.40.7
10.19.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed