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Red84
453928.2
310222.4
591320.1
Blue51
467414.2
327521.5
842214.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754802040601001201408451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.3
27.528.9
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End4.2
red by 6.7
21.50.2
19.119.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End0.6
Second
22.41.3
20.321.6
Auto5.6
Teleop13.9
End2.9
red by 8.2
4674
#15
14.20.2
13.313.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End0.4
Third
5913
#11
20.11.3
16.617.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End3.0
red by 6.0
8422
#18
14.10.2
14.014.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed