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Qual 32024 NMRC Open
Red42
957623.4
32789.6
842214.1
Blue31
418115.3
767719.4
818818.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50690204060801001201401604231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9576
#5
23.40.4
23.5→23.1
Auto10.6
Teleop12.6
End0.2
red by 4.0
7677
#12
19.41.9
19.3→17.4
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End1.1
Second
8422
#18
14.10.5
15.7→15.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End2.6
blue by 4.0
8188
#21
18.21.9
22.6→20.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Third
3278
#20
9.60.4
8.3→7.9
Auto1.8
Teleop7.6
End0.2
blue by 5.7
4181
#8
15.31.9
18.2→16.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed