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Red40
85869.4
591320.1
43604.0
Blue66
32789.6
767719.4
87634.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31720204060801001204066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#11
20.10.2
17.016.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End3.0
blue by 14.1
876
#2
34.20.1
34.934.9
Auto15.1
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Second
8586
#24
9.40.3
13.012.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.9
End0.3
blue by 10.0
7677
#12
19.40.1
17.417.4
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End1.1
Third
4360
#17
4.00.2
3.02.8
Auto1.1
Teleop2.3
End0.5
blue by 5.6
3278
#20
9.60.1
7.98.0
Auto1.8
Teleop7.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned30%Ensemble oddsMissed