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Qual 72024 NMRC Open
Red68
818818.2
467414.2
453928.2
Blue38
85869.4
472831.5
569020.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6481020401001206838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#1
28.20.6
24.6→25.2
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End4.2
blue by 3.2
4728
#7
31.52.2
35.0→32.8
Auto11.5
Teleop17.3
End2.6
Second
8188
#21
18.20.6
20.7→21.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End1.2
blue by 2.3
5690
#16
20.52.2
23.8→21.5
Auto8.9
Teleop9.6
End1.9
Third
4674
#15
14.20.6
14.2→14.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End0.4
red by 4.9
8586
#24
9.42.7
12.8→10.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed