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Red59
472831.5
453928.2
418115.3
Blue82
591320.1
327521.5
957623.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886102040801001201401605982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.4
32.131.6
Auto11.5
Teleop17.3
End2.6
red by 8.0
23.40.4
21.221.7
Auto10.6
Teleop12.6
End0.2
Second
28.20.4
28.928.4
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End4.2
red by 6.7
21.50.4
19.319.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End0.6
Third
15.30.4
15.915.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End2.9
blue by 4.9
5913
#11
20.10.4
17.918.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End3.0