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Red51
72357.0
915112.4
696826.7
Blue83
99113.0
585125.8
742633.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256904060801001205183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.72.4
10.112.5
Auto6.9
Teleop17.7
End2.2
blue by 6.6
7426
#14
33.31.4
31.232.7
Auto12.0
Teleop18.2
End3.2
Second
9151
#38
12.42.4
9.411.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.4
blue by 13.4
5851
#16
25.81.4
17.519.0
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End1.1
Third
7235
#44
7.01.9
8.410.2
Auto1.1
Teleop5.4
End0.6
blue by 6.0
991
#17
13.01.6
8.510.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed