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Red74
68737.2
45019.9
742514.8
Blue9
70777.0
94264.9
802210.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582404080100749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#15
37.21.4
31.833.2
Auto14.9
Teleop22.3
End0.1
red by 26.7
8022
#27
10.62.1
10.48.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Second
7425
#32
14.82.3
9.912.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.1
red by 7.8
7077
#29
7.02.1
6.34.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Third
4501
#22
9.91.4
6.57.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End1.2
red by 5.0
9426
#36
4.92.1
9.37.2
Auto3.3
Teleop1.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed