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Red71
68737.2
940016.3
248620.7
Blue68
95349.5
70112.3
742633.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7252204060801001207168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#15
37.20.2
33.233.4
Auto14.9
Teleop22.3
End0.1
red by 3.9
7426
#14
33.31.2
33.835.0
Auto12.0
Teleop18.2
End3.2
Second
20.70.2
15.215.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End1.2
red by 8.4
701
#21
12.31.2
10.011.2
Auto6.2
Teleop4.5
End1.5
Third
16.30.2
14.114.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End0.2
red by 6.8
9534
#35
9.52.0
6.08.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed