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Red57
68737.2
90025.7
94264.9
Blue73
99113.0
6020.0
248620.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54402060801005773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#15
37.20.7
33.434.1
Auto14.9
Teleop22.3
End0.1
red by 16.5
20.72.3
15.517.8
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End1.2
Second
9002
#40
5.71.1
7.48.5
Auto3.7
Teleop1.3
End0.7
blue by 14.4
60
#13
20.02.3
13.515.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Third
9426
#36
4.91.1
6.37.4
Auto3.3
Teleop1.6
End-0.0
blue by 8.1
991
#17
13.02.3
8.911.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed