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Red48
800518.8
248620.7
915112.4
Blue53
718315.2
59726.8
50493.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55432060801004853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.0
18.418.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End1.2
blue by 6.1
597
#11
26.80.5
23.323.8
Auto8.2
Teleop16.3
End2.3
Second
8005
#23
18.80.0
16.316.3
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End1.5
red by 3.6
7183
#18
15.20.9
13.314.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Third
9151
#38
12.40.0
13.413.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.4
red by 8.8
5049
#39
3.70.9
3.54.4
Auto1.3
Teleop2.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed