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Red62
240327.3
94264.9
940016.3
Blue38
651022.8
90025.7
953910.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504730406070806238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.8
22.923.8
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End1.4
red by 4.5
6510
#10
22.80.3
24.824.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
Second
16.30.8
14.215.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End0.2
red by 5.8
9539
#28
10.50.5
9.48.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End1.5
Third
9426
#36
4.91.4
7.69.0
Auto3.3
Teleop1.6
End-0.0
blue by 0.7
9002
#40
5.70.5
8.47.9
Auto3.7
Teleop1.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed