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Red80
940016.3
565321.8
651022.8
Blue17
300915.8
68256.3
70777.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71330204060801008017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6510
#10
22.80.0
24.524.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
red by 7.1
3009
#19
15.81.8
15.914.1
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Second
21.80.0
20.020.1
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 14.8
7077
#29
7.02.8
8.45.6
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Third
16.30.0
15.015.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End0.2
red by 10.0
6825
#33
6.33.0
9.76.7
Auto1.4
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned