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Red60
68256.3
6020.0
940016.3
Blue18
76549.0
95349.5
718315.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3528010204050606018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
#13
20.00.7
9.810.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.5
red by 4.8
7183
#18
15.20.9
9.58.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Second
16.30.6
11.912.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End0.2
red by 6.8
9534
#35
9.51.3
9.58.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Third
6825
#33
6.31.0
9.410.4
Auto1.4
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 2.8
7654
#25
9.00.9
7.96.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed