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Red54
585125.8
718315.2
9887.8
Blue49
742633.3
742514.8
90025.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466302040801005449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5851
#16
25.80.7
23.624.3
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End1.1
blue by 7.5
7426
#14
33.30.4
34.033.7
Auto12.0
Teleop18.2
End3.2
Second
7183
#18
15.21.1
13.414.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 0.4
7425
#32
14.80.5
13.613.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Third
988
#20
7.81.0
6.47.4
Auto4.2
Teleop2.9
End0.8
red by 2.2
9002
#40
5.70.5
7.16.5
Auto3.7
Teleop1.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed