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Red35
6020.0
928710.2
90187.4
Blue68
940016.3
68248.2
800518.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404402060801001201403568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
#13
20.00.1
18.918.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.5
red by 1.2
8005
#23
18.81.3
17.518.7
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End1.5
Second
9287
#41
10.20.2
10.310.2
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End2.0
blue by 6.1
16.31.3
15.216.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End0.2
Third
9018
#43
7.40.2
7.57.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 0.9
6824
#24
8.21.7
6.58.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned