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Red56
718315.2
321614.4
800518.8
Blue68
70112.3
565321.8
651022.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516402040801005668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8005
#23
18.80.2
18.718.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End1.5
blue by 4.0
6510
#10
22.80.3
22.622.9
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
Second
7183
#18
15.20.2
15.015.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End0.9
blue by 6.6
21.80.3
21.621.9
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Third
3216
#12
14.40.2
14.214.4
Auto6.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
red by 2.1
701
#21
12.30.3
12.112.4
Auto6.2
Teleop4.5
End1.5