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Red85
179650.7
69425.9
99987.0
Blue63
964226.8
341929.6
99977.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956001502002503008563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.70.0
50.750.7
Auto17.9
Teleop26.8
End5.9
red by 21.0
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End2.3
Second
694
#1
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
blue by 0.9
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.8
End1.5
Third
9998
#11
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Level
9997
#17
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5