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Red43
33316.2
341929.6
99997.0
Blue44
964226.8
160111.5
179650.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5310501502002503003504344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End2.3
blue by 21.0
50.70.0
50.750.7
Auto17.9
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Second
333
#8
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.4
blue by 10.7
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.8
End1.5
Third
9999
#15
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 4.5
1601
#14
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody odds81%Melody odds
Ensemble
7%Ensemble odds55%Ensemble odds