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Red21
873914.0
179650.7
99977.0
Blue43
160111.5
286930.5
3953.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774701001502002143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.70.0
50.750.7
Auto17.9
Teleop26.8
End5.9
red by 20.1
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Second
8739
#12
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End0.9
red by 2.5
1601
#14
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Third
9997
#17
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
red by 3.2
395
#10
3.90.0
3.93.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody odds40%Melody odds
Ensemble
32%Ensemble odds11%Ensemble odds