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Red50
3953.9
115521.7
69425.9
Blue39
160111.5
341929.6
99987.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59502004006008001,0001,2005039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
blue by 3.7
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End2.3
Second
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 10.2
1601
#14
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Third
395
#10
3.90.0
3.93.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.7
blue by 3.2
9998
#11
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody odds35%Melody odds
Ensemble
11%Ensemble odds6%Ensemble odds