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Red54
115521.7
3953.9
160111.5
Blue59
99937.0
33417.0
179650.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34900501502005459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End1.9
blue by 28.9
50.70.0
50.750.7
Auto17.9
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Second
1601
#14
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 5.5
334
#7
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Third
395
#10
3.90.0
3.93.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.7
blue by 3.2
9993
#13
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody odds53%Melody odds
Ensemble
5%Ensemble odds35%Ensemble odds