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Red20
395033.0
445827.4
901625.5
Blue60
573626.7
26316.9
87031.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9780501502002060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.0
33.033.0
Auto12.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
red by 2.1
870
#3
31.00.0
31.031.0
Auto10.9
Teleop14.5
End5.5
Second
4458
#18
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto11.1
Teleop14.7
End1.6
red by 0.8
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.1
Third
9016
#16
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto11.5
Teleop10.5
End3.5
red by 8.6
263
#5
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody odds93%Melody odds
Ensemble
32%Ensemble odds33%Ensemble odds