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Red14
99989.1
87119.4
445827.4
Blue50
286930.5
395033.0
263825.1
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4310601502001450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4458
#18
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto11.1
Teleop14.7
End1.6
blue by 5.6
33.00.0
33.033.0
Auto12.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Second
871
#17
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto9.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
blue by 11.2
2869
#19
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Third
9998
#20
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 16.0
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody odds89%Melody odds
Ensemble
11%Ensemble odds27%Ensemble odds