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Red56
99999.1
642326.3
81024.4
Blue17
317121.6
445827.4
27114.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59720501001505617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6423
#12
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End2.0
blue by 1.1
4458
#18
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto11.1
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Second
810
#2
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.9
End2.3
red by 2.8
3171
#14
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End2.5
Third
9999
#11
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 5.4
271
#21
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody odds59%Melody odds
Ensemble
9%Ensemble odds19%Ensemble odds