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Red42
901625.5
26316.9
99999.1
Blue40
87119.4
317121.6
35817.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496602040801001201404240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9016
#16
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto11.5
Teleop10.5
End3.5
red by 3.9
3171
#14
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End2.5
Second
263
#5
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.5
blue by 2.5
871
#17
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto9.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
Third
9999
#11
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 8.0
358
#10
17.10.0
17.117.1
Auto9.3
Teleop6.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody odds44%Melody odds
Ensemble
30%Ensemble odds45%Ensemble odds