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Red50
35340.0
317121.6
99999.1
Blue36
35817.1
362416.7
286930.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73710204060801001201405036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#9
40.00.0
40.040.0
Auto12.4
Teleop24.0
End3.6
red by 9.5
2869
#19
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Second
3171
#14
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End2.5
red by 4.6
358
#10
17.10.0
17.117.1
Auto9.3
Teleop6.5
End1.3
Third
9999
#11
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 7.6
3624
#22
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto6.0
Teleop9.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody odds59%Melody odds
Ensemble
27%Ensemble odds33%Ensemble odds