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Red66
573626.7
802017.6
26316.9
Blue38
52713.9
313712.3
23479.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583202040801001206638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5736
#21
26.71.2
22.824.0
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.1
red by 12.8
527
#27
13.90.5
13.713.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Second
8020
#15
17.61.4
12.213.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End2.1
red by 5.3
3137
#44
12.30.5
10.29.7
Auto6.1
Teleop4.8
End1.5
Third
263
#17
16.91.2
14.415.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.5
red by 7.8
2347
#48
9.10.5
8.68.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed