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Red36
55998.9
8849.2
81024.4
Blue47
96466.4
32923.8
80613.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32382050603647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
810
#9
24.40.5
15.415.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.9
End2.3
red by 0.6
329
#6
23.80.9
17.818.7
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End0.5
Second
884
#46
9.20.7
8.18.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End0.4
blue by 4.3
806
#29
13.50.5
8.79.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.4
Third
5599
#45
8.90.7
6.37.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 2.5
9646
#41
6.40.9
7.48.3
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed