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Red26
49610.8
51415.3
313712.3
Blue64
154617.2
56918.0
52713.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324002060801002664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
514
#18
15.30.7
12.111.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End2.5
blue by 2.7
569
#13
18.03.2
10.313.5
Auto7.5
Teleop8.8
End1.7
Second
3137
#44
12.30.7
9.79.0
Auto6.1
Teleop4.8
End1.5
blue by 4.9
1546
#16
17.23.2
12.115.2
Auto6.4
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Third
496
#31
10.80.7
8.47.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.9
blue by 3.1
527
#27
13.93.2
13.216.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed